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EUR/USD forecast: Dollar should survive before it thrives

EUUSD forecast: Dollar should survive before it thrives

Fundamental U.S. dollar forecast for today

Investors do not believe in the U.S. economy and sell off the U.S. dollar

When the U.S. economy looks like a bubble, the dollar can’t but fall. Investors have not been confused by the biggest rise of the U.S. manufacturing PMI since February 2019. The U.S. employment in the private sector added 165,000 jobs in July, sharply missing expectations of more than 1 million new jobs. The number of jobless claims, according to the experts polled by the Wall Street Journal, should continue rising. When people had money granted by the government, they spent it. Now, they have run out of money. Democrats and Republicans can’t reach an agreement on the extra financial aid package, and this is a big problem.

Dynamics of U.S. employment


Source: Wall Street Journal
The $600 unemployment boost expired on July 31. It will result in a sharp decline in household spending and a slowdown in the U.S. GDP recovery. In the middle of summer, over 12 million people received benefits, which allowed them to pay rent, utilities, auto, and other loans. Now, financial aid has finished, and the debts continue growing.
The unemployment benefits, supporting consumer spending, is only the tip of the iceberg. The US labor market is weak, which kills the hope for the V-shaped GDP rebound. According to the poll of the National Federation of Independent Business, about 20% of firms plan to lay off workers after using the loans from the Paycheck Protection Program. According to Cornell University, one in four workers, recruited back through the program, received a notice that they could be fired again.
The grim outlook of the U.S. economy contrasts with the confidence in a soon rebound of the euro-area GDP, which is signaled by the euro-area PMI report, which is stronger than the flash data.

Dynamics of euro-area PMIs


Source: Bloomberg
According to the Societe Generale, there is no doubt the dollar has made a cyclical turn now and should continue falling amid the current Fed’s monetary policy stance and the outlook for the U.S. growth over the next few years. 33 of 62 experts surveyed by Reuters said the USD bear trend would continue for at least another six months. 15 analysts, said it would be less than six months. While 11 said it would be less than three months, just three respondents said it was already over. The consensus view suggests the EUUSD will be trading at 1.18 in August 2021, which is the highest in a year.
In my opinion, the market is too fast. It starts pricing the weak data on the U.S. nonfarm payrolls in July. As a result, volatility risks are growing. The euro could grow first, and, next, it could fall even faster, as big traders should be exiting longs. However, we should see the publication of the U.S. jobless claims data, which can push the EUUSD up above 1.192. I recommend holding the long positions opened at level 1.173 and preparing for exiting a part of trades.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/eurusd-forecast-dollar-should-survive-before-it-thrives/?uid=285861726&cid=79634
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Discussion, Questions, Solutions, Inputs - AusFinance 2018

Hello everyone,
Hope you have had a good week.
It has been a while (read: ages!) since we had a discussion as a community.
In the past when the members were still below 5,000 this kind of post were always pleasant, includes healthy debates + quality banter, great inputs for the direction of the sub and so on... I hope we can keep this culture alive.
Move forward about 2 years in (a little less than a year ago) we only had 10,000 subscribers and the climate was still calm and warm. Now we have over 25,000 subscribers with 1million+ pageviews in the past month alone (1,088,590 to be exact).
From where I am sitting. The mods are exhausted. The days where we get to sit around and just read the sub's contents casually whilst watching tv and warn rude members is slipping away!. Seems that mods have to put the beers away now and deal with it. There are now:
And so on...
As a result, Members are temporarily and some permanently banned, posts removed without warning, guidance seeked from moderators can be replied without a firm policy and enforcement. It's those nasty stuff.
With the exception of an advice being given to a person and the requirement to have relevance to Australian finance and economy, there has been never been any other iron-clad rule implemented in the sub.
AusFinance has always been supported by its members' quality participation rather than iron-clad policy. And I'd like to keep it that way. Though the recent boom in our pageviews and participants does decreases your influence as a single member to have an impact to the larger community by quality posts and the voting system.
These issues were expected as the sub grows, though I don't think anyone would forecast the boom we have had in the past couple of months. And I think we are at the start of going in the direction where I can no longer visit it with enjoyment. So let's not wait until it's too late!
The below is what I have in mind (not a collective thought of all moderators) on where we might go:
Property is only a single topic out of all possible discussions to be had in the sub. There are micro and macro economy, portfolio management, derivatives, currency exchange, regulatory environment, loans, personal finance, and many more!!!
u/jackimatic initiated the property mega-thread to have some relief on the number of property posts which has exploded recently. This is not sustainable as we single-out a topic to be permanently stickied in this sub.
I've always wanted the sub to have balanced content. Thus, regardless of the fact that Australians are so obsessed with this asset class -- I don't see it happening in this place.
One option is to refer poster to AusProperty and lock the post. This does not mean we ban all posts about property; but to limit property discussion within a broader context, for example: buy vs rent, interest rate impact, portfolio management and economy as a whole. What's out the door?: speculation about property prices, property construction, micro movement in property (i.e. auction results and "look! NSW property price went down by 0.5% last week!) and the likes gets the boot.
There will be no fast and hard rule about it and there will be some human judgement involved. Basically, if you get your posts locked and referred to AusProperty then don't complain.
Some posts about personal finance around here also reflects the person's specific circumstances. Let me reiterate that we cannot provide advice, and when you make such posts -- it is difficult not to do so. What is supported here are the likes of budgeting techniques, academic studies (i.e. we can discuss those of what people study in Financial Planning), or scrutinisation of certain approach as discussed through certain books (most popular being mentioned around here are the barefoot investor. But you know, there are other dozens of quality books with approaches that are proven just the same!).
There is fiaustralia to discuss early retirement (if that is your thing). They're a good sub which specialises in this type, a good addition to AusFinance.
As said above, there are some posts sourced from the media which I sometimes wonder if it is just a personal rant expressed through a news article or just to gain karma.
Thus, all linked articles must be accompanied by OP's insight into the article and how it is relevant and possibly utilised. Failing to do so grants the mod full discretion to remove the post.
Another solution to this, is to only allow text posts within the sub. Though personally, I like the varieties of pictures at the front page :P
The bigger the sub = the higher the requirement for rules and its enforcement = the drier it can get.
I much rather see a small sub with quality posts and discussion rather than a big sub with rants and politics all around. AusFinance will be open to all discussion, though when the need arises a new specialised sub will be promoted.
If this is to be enforced, there are still questions over what the maximum subscriber will be and to keep certain personalities within. In the past, I pulled a number out of my ass and got 25,000. Never I expected that in one year alone we are already over that number at this time.
I've never had the time to get into all the detail of what it can do. I'd still prefer judicious approach by using human judgement, though some classification on posts won't hurt.
If possible, I am thinking to have categories as a requirement for every post. just like askscience
Minimum 1 category, maximum 3 categories (as some subjects may overlap).
If possible, for all categories there will be a wikipage. Then, for all posts to be automatically submitted/posted into the wiki. Categories will be: property, lifestyle, debt/mortgage, news/media, general discussion, AMA, shitpost, career, derivates, tools, books discussions, tax, negative gearing, investing, forex/currency, insurance.
This way, we'll have higher visibilty of what the topics are + Wiki will also be constantly updated.
If there are any expert out there, let me know if the above is possible :P
Let the discussion begin. Questions, solutions and inputs only please. Rants will be removed.
Post will be stickied only for ONE WEEK (okay, maybe two if it has some lengthy quality discussion).
New moderator may be required to help in managing the sub.
submitted by fauziozi to AusFinance [link] [comments]

Profit Genius Review - Does Profit Genius Works?

Profit Genius Review
Profit Genius is a latest binary options trading software out there in the market. I have already got my copy and today I will write Profit Genius review and what I get inside. So read my honest Profit Genius review and know what Profit Genius all about.
Profit Genius Review - What is Profit Genius?
Profit Genius is an auxiliary trading tool,, known as a mechanized trading robot, or most generally, a "bot". This is a product that breaks down information from stock market and improves the trading knowledge for double options traders. Profit Genius is free trading software.
The best part of Profit Genius is that it expands the exactness level of your expectations and allows you to trade more volume with a higher achievement rate.
Is Profit Genius Legit?
To utilize Profit Genius, you must open a trading record with a binary options broker. Profit Genius is an free software that is continuously dispatched now, in mid-2014, and until it makes its database of customers, this monetary tool is accessible free of charge. It is exceptionally doubtful that this circumstance will stay as and accordingly it is firmly proposed to sign-in now, and profit from this preference while there is no charge.
The way that Profit Genius is not specifically dependent on any specific binary broker gives it a huge advantage, because the Profit Genius designers pick which organizations can utilize its innovation. For this reason they have set elevated expectations for any facilitate that wishes to offer this magnificent profit to its traders.
Binary options trading scams exist, and the Navigator programming makes sure to distance itself of such rumors, by permitting clients to pick just between a select groups of trustworthy brokers. The best affirmation that Profit Genius is a legit device that is just adjusts to the stages of expert and authorized binary options broker.
Profit Genius Review - Why Use Profit Genius?
Profit Genius is another, computerized trading administration that shows to traders the best expectations for their investment. It has a few points of interest, highlighted by the accompanying:
This product can transform your trading knowledge into a speedier, more beneficial, more secure and controlled experience. The initial move towards utilizing this brilliant tool is registration process. This is an exceptionally enrollment procedure, the Profit Genius will propose a binary options representative through which you can execute traders.
Every month or so, a new broker tops the suggestion list. Obviously, without a trading record, you can't trade. Along these lines a piece of the enrollment will take you through opening a record and making your first deposit.
Profit Genius Review - Trading with Profit Genius
Trading binary options with Profit Genius is simple because it permits you to follow the software even if you have very little or no experience in trading.
You just have to follow these to make profit:
Inside minutes, the trade expires and the results are characterized. Binary options can either expire in-the-cash or out-of-the-cash. If you can accomplish a bigger measure of right forecasts, you can revel in huge benefits.
The Profit Genius is to a great degree simple to utilize, because it is incorporated with your trading stage, and in this manner all it requires from you is to pick your trades. The product makes an indicator by highlighting every present potential trade with either the Green color (signals that it is prescribing a "Call" alternative) or in Red (a signal to choose a “Put” binary option).
Bottom Line:
By emulating these trading indicators, traders can expand generously their benefit levels. Since binary options payouts are amazingly high, even a slight change can decipher into huge measures of cash. When you figure out how to utilize the Profit Genius reliably, you can generate an additional monthly income. So, what are you waiting for? Go and get your copy now and start making money.
Profit Genius Review
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Cash Camp Review 2015 - Is Cash Camp SCAM Or LEGIT? How Does Cash Camp Software Work???.. The Truth About Cash Camp By Michael Solovsky Review

Cash Camp Review 2015 - CASHCAMP?? Learn the Secrets about Cash Camp in this Cash Camp review! So What is Cash Camp Software all about? So Does Cash Camp Actually Work? Is Cash Camp Software application scam or does it really work?
To discover answers to these questions continue reading my in depth and truthful Cash Camp
Review below.
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Name: Cash Camp
Niche: Binary Options.
Official Site: Activate The NEW Cash Camp!! CLICK HERE NOW!!!
What is Cash Camp?
Cash Camp is essentially a binary options trading software that is created to help traders win and forecast the marketplace trends with binary options. The software also offers evaluations of the market conditions so that traders can know what should be your next step. It provides different secret methods that ultimately helps. traders without using any complex trading indications or follow graphs.
Cash Camp Binary Options Trading Method
Base the Cash Camp trading strategy. After you see it working, you can start to execute your strategy with routine sized lots. This method will certainly pay off over time. Every Forex binary options trader should choose an account type that is in accordance with their needs and expectations. A bigger account does not imply a bigger earnings potential so it is an excellent idea to begin little and slowly add to your account as your returns increase based on the trading choices you make.
Binary Options Trading
To help you trade binary options effectively, it is essential to have an understanding behind the basics of Binary Options Trading. Currency Trading, or forex, is based on the perceived value of 2 currencies pairs to one another, and is impacted by the political stability of the country, inflation and interest rates to name a few things. Keep this in mind as you trade and discover more about binary options to optimize your learning experience.
Cash Camp Summary
In summary, there are some apparent ideas that have been checked over time, in addition to some newer techniques. that you may not have actually thought about. Hopefully, as long as you follow exactly what we suggest in this post you can either start with trading with Cash Camp or improve on what you have currently done.
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Free Millionaire Review - Does Free Millionaire Really Works? - Free Millionaire 2015

Free Millionaire Review
Free Millionaire is a latest binary options trading software out there in the market. I have already got my copy and today I will write Free Millionaire review and what I get inside. So read my honest Free Millionaire review and know what Free Millionaire all about.
Free Millionaire Review - What is Free Millionaire?
Free Millionaire is an auxiliary trading tool,, known as a mechanized trading robot, or most generally, a "bot". This is a product that breaks down information from stock market and improves the trading knowledge for double options traders. Free Millionaire is free trading software.
The best part of Free Millionaire is that it expands the exactness level of your expectations and allows you to trade more volume with a higher achievement rate.
Is Free Millionaire Legit?
To utilize Free Millionaire, you must open a trading record with a binary options broker. Free Millionaire is an free software that is continuously dispatched now, in mid-2014, and until it makes its database of customers, this monetary tool is accessible free of charge. It is exceptionally doubtful that this circumstance will stay as and accordingly it is firmly proposed to sign-in now, and profit from this preference while there is no charge.
The way that Free Millionaire is not specifically dependent on any specific binary broker gives it a huge advantage, because the Free Millionaire designers pick which organizations can utilize its innovation. For this reason they have set elevated expectations for any facilitate that wishes to offer this magnificent profit to its traders.
Binary options trading scams exist, and the Navigator programming makes sure to distance itself of such rumors, by permitting clients to pick just between a select groups of trustworthy brokers. The best affirmation that Free Millionaire is a legit device that is just adjusts to the stages of expert and authorized binary options broker.
Free Millionaire Review - Why Use Free Millionaire?
Free Millionaire is another, computerized trading administration that shows to traders the best expectations for their investment. It has a few points of interest, highlighted by the accompanying:
This product can transform your trading knowledge into a speedier, more beneficial, more secure and controlled experience. The initial move towards utilizing this brilliant tool is registration process. This is an exceptionally enrollment procedure, the Free Millionaire will propose a binary options representative through which you can execute traders.
Every month or so, a new broker tops the suggestion list. Obviously, without a trading record, you can't trade. Along these lines a piece of the enrollment will take you through opening a record and making your first deposit.
Free Millionaire Review - Trading with Free Millionaire
Trading binary options with Free Millionaire is simple because it permits you to follow the software even if you have very little or no experience in trading.
You just have to follow these to make profit:
Inside minutes, the trade expires and the results are characterized. Binary options can either expire in-the-cash or out-of-the-cash. If you can accomplish a bigger measure of right forecasts, you can revel in huge benefits.
The Free Millionaire is to a great degree simple to utilize, because it is incorporated with your trading stage, and in this manner all it requires from you is to pick your trades. The product makes an indicator by highlighting every present potential trade with either the Green color (signals that it is prescribing a "Call" alternative) or in Red (a signal to choose a “Put” binary option).
Bottom Line:
By emulating these trading indicators, traders can expand generously their benefit levels. Since binary options payouts are amazingly high, even a slight change can decipher into huge measures of cash. When you figure out how to utilize the Free Millionaire reliably, you can generate an additional monthly income. So, what are you waiting for? Go and get your copy now and start making money.
Free Millionaire Review
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